I want to share my experience.
Recently, My younger brother joined in an English speech contest for junior highschool students.
Unfortunately, he didn't make it, but anyway it was surely a good experience for him.
His topic was about the global warming and too much luxurious life we have.
Which was too difficult topic, not only for the audiences, but also for the judges. They didn't understand!
The problem had popped-out when he practiced in front of me before the contest.
While listening, I noticed that some lines of his piece sounds familiar to me.
The line about "Tokyo Wall" was taken from one of the post in my blog.
I knew that soon I'll suffered under Googlewashing.
This is the problem that the copied page is either ranking higher or replacing the original page in search-engines.
To all the readers,
especially to the morally-inferior thieves:
Okay,
I'm glad that my messages are spreading all over the world.
I'm glad too that some of my grammatical errors were corrected.
But to copy-paste my post (my effort!) without telling it to me is absolutely vicious.
You should never pretend that this is your original post.
To the one who copied:
If you're reading this, tell it to me.
Everything will be alright.
It's better to be late than never.
And I won't let you copy-paste this post with the simplest method:
Signed, matwiz.
November 28, 2005
November 22, 2005
Dependence on medicine.
What will you do if you see an illusion that you're in your house and it's in a fire?
Will you throw your body out from the nearest window, even if it's 2nd floor?
I don't know.
And thanks God, I never saw such an illusion.
But this might be what the boys who took Tamiflu experienced.
It's just my guess. We don't know and we'll never know.
But the truth that 3 boys who took Tamiflu committed suicide by jumping cannot be denied.
After Thalidomide, we are sensitive to the side effects of medicines.
But as long as pharmacists keep on making new medicines, we can't avoid this.
The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare plans to reserve Tamiflu's good for 25 million people.
However, the Ministry mentioned above also tells that Tamiflu isn't necessary for all people.
When usually healthy people suffer from the flu, they'll have fever for about 4 days and will be fine.
It must be prescribed only when the patient is either old, has cardiac or respiratory disease.
It is also possible to prescribe for the "busy" people, with the reasons like "exam is near".
But it is not recommended to take Tamiflu rashly.
There are also some flu which Tamiflu has no effect.
There's no such thing as panacea.
We just dream that it exists.
But after all, medicines are chemicals.
(I would like to exclude Chinese 'herbal' medicines here.)
These are the best combinations I know to keep sicknesses away:
Aspirins, water, balanced diet, moderate exercises or sports and enough rest.
Except for aspirins, these are the traditional ways to fight against sicknesses mankind had since ever.
November 15, 2005
Is petroleum inexhaustible?
A scientific analysis tells that petroleum in the world will be exhausted in 40 years.
But on 1970's, a scientific analysis told that petroleum in the world will be exhausted in 30 years.
It's already more than 30 years now.
How come?
Because the word "oil deposit" is often misinterpreted.
It only tells the ECONOMICALLY PROFITABLE amount of oil.
As the crude oil prices increase, more petroleum resources repose can be developed.
Thus, the "oil deposit" of the world increases.
The steep rise in crude oil prices we are experiencing is not due to the problems in oil producing countries.
It's because of the investors, general or institutional, who foresee more demands of petroleum buy in futures.
It's clear in everybody's eyes that some rapidly developing nations, such as China or India, are needing plenty of oil.
Hence, oil producing countries earn more without increase in cost of production.
In fact, the oil income of Russia, one of the OPEC member nation, increased from 250 Billion Dollars to 430 Billion Dollars.
And of course, if there's somebody who have surplus, those surpluses are invested in the world.
As you know, this is the "oil dollars".
Perhaps Japan's economy is one of the most prospected and stable economies in the world.
Most probably they contributed some to the rise in Nikkei, which had increased about 15% in 3 months.
But wait.
Please do not misunderstand that it's not "we have unlimited source of petroleum, since oil deposit increases as the crude oil prices increase,"
It's a big NO!
According to another scientific analysis, the amount of oil production forms "bell shape" in the graph.
Which means once the peak is reached, there's no way than to follow the steady decrease of production.
And that peak is estimated from 2003 to 2006.
Ironically, the increase in crude oil prices make us hard to use the oil, and pushes us ahead to shift the source of energy.
I believe this is the biggest contribution of the increase in crude oil prices.
But on 1970's, a scientific analysis told that petroleum in the world will be exhausted in 30 years.
It's already more than 30 years now.
How come?
Because the word "oil deposit" is often misinterpreted.
It only tells the ECONOMICALLY PROFITABLE amount of oil.
As the crude oil prices increase, more petroleum resources repose can be developed.
Thus, the "oil deposit" of the world increases.
The steep rise in crude oil prices we are experiencing is not due to the problems in oil producing countries.
It's because of the investors, general or institutional, who foresee more demands of petroleum buy in futures.
It's clear in everybody's eyes that some rapidly developing nations, such as China or India, are needing plenty of oil.
Hence, oil producing countries earn more without increase in cost of production.
In fact, the oil income of Russia, one of the OPEC member nation, increased from 250 Billion Dollars to 430 Billion Dollars.
And of course, if there's somebody who have surplus, those surpluses are invested in the world.
As you know, this is the "oil dollars".
Perhaps Japan's economy is one of the most prospected and stable economies in the world.
Most probably they contributed some to the rise in Nikkei, which had increased about 15% in 3 months.
But wait.
Please do not misunderstand that it's not "we have unlimited source of petroleum, since oil deposit increases as the crude oil prices increase,"
It's a big NO!
According to another scientific analysis, the amount of oil production forms "bell shape" in the graph.
Which means once the peak is reached, there's no way than to follow the steady decrease of production.
And that peak is estimated from 2003 to 2006.
Ironically, the increase in crude oil prices make us hard to use the oil, and pushes us ahead to shift the source of energy.
I believe this is the biggest contribution of the increase in crude oil prices.
November 07, 2005
Too much belief to the computer.
Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) is not only the center of the economy of Japan, but also one of the biggest financial center of the world.
On last tuesday, November 1, 2005, TSE turned down for 3 hours.
Transactions for all the stocks listed in TSE had stalled.
It was caused by software glitch.
As the economy becomes active, number of transactions everyday increases.
We had never experienced the transactions as much as 3.7 Billion stocks per day, recorded on November 2, 2005.
This is primarily caused by the increase of "day-traders", who buy and sell stocks within a day and won't hold any stocks overnight.
Internet trade allowed us to join in the stock market easier, faster and cheaper.
It can also be verified by the number of accounts in internet trade, which was 750,000 accounts on March 2003 became 7 million accounts on March 2005.
Thus, TSE were urged to expand the capacity in processing, and they did so on October, from 6.2 million processes to 7.5 million processes per day.
That caused the new software unable to find where are the new locations of the database.
They had a backup for the database, but it was useless since what was down was the software.
They were able to resume, but 3 hours is too long in this world.
Were there no any possible remedy?
Well, the answer is NO!
We can never tell that system glitch will never happen.
Computers will make no mistake.
But computers are made by human, and when the input is wrong, of course the output will be wrong too.
However, transactions by "signs and gestures" are too old in this times.
Could anybody process 7.5 million a day?
What is important here is an attitude towards system glitch.
They must not just rest on the computer's laurels.
If the problems are irresistible, they must prepare to solve quickly.
Or else, they're gonna lose trust.
By the way, November 1, 2005 marked second to the highest upswing on this year.
If I was there, how much did I earn in just one day!?
On last tuesday, November 1, 2005, TSE turned down for 3 hours.
Transactions for all the stocks listed in TSE had stalled.
It was caused by software glitch.
As the economy becomes active, number of transactions everyday increases.
We had never experienced the transactions as much as 3.7 Billion stocks per day, recorded on November 2, 2005.
This is primarily caused by the increase of "day-traders", who buy and sell stocks within a day and won't hold any stocks overnight.
Internet trade allowed us to join in the stock market easier, faster and cheaper.
It can also be verified by the number of accounts in internet trade, which was 750,000 accounts on March 2003 became 7 million accounts on March 2005.
Thus, TSE were urged to expand the capacity in processing, and they did so on October, from 6.2 million processes to 7.5 million processes per day.
That caused the new software unable to find where are the new locations of the database.
They had a backup for the database, but it was useless since what was down was the software.
They were able to resume, but 3 hours is too long in this world.
Were there no any possible remedy?
Well, the answer is NO!
We can never tell that system glitch will never happen.
Computers will make no mistake.
But computers are made by human, and when the input is wrong, of course the output will be wrong too.
However, transactions by "signs and gestures" are too old in this times.
Could anybody process 7.5 million a day?
What is important here is an attitude towards system glitch.
They must not just rest on the computer's laurels.
If the problems are irresistible, they must prepare to solve quickly.
Or else, they're gonna lose trust.
By the way, November 1, 2005 marked second to the highest upswing on this year.
If I was there, how much did I earn in just one day!?
